LINEDRIVE ★
LineDrive Premium: our proprietary composite score blends signal type, Pinnacle EV, pitcher edge, line-move agreement, and confidence into a single 0–100 rating. The ★ goes to the highest-conviction plays — almost always full-game sharp-money signals (underdog tightening, RLM, consensus) that beat the closing line. Only picks above the strict live cutoff that didn't lose to the close get the ★.
REVERSE PRICE
Public hammers one side, sharp books move the other way. Classic contrarian sharp signal — a proxy for true RLM without needing paid bet-percentage data.
STEAM
3+ sharp books move together within minutes — coordinated syndicate action. In Model v7 this only boosts confidence on a primary signal, never fires alone.
SHARP LEAD
Sharp books moved materially more than square books — informed money is leading the line. In Model v7 this only boosts confidence on a primary signal, never fires alone.
CONSENSUS
Sharp + square books moved together by 15+ pts. Broad agreement across the market — lower-conviction, usually news-driven.
PITCHER EDGE
Composite ERA/WHIP/K-9 edge ≥ 0.70 between the probable starters. Fires on its own — especially on First 5, where the starter dominates — and stacks on top of primary signals on full game.
PREMIUM
Highest-conviction tier. Same signals, stricter thresholds — bigger sharp moves, higher Pinnacle EV, and a confidence ceiling required.
UNDERDOG
Opener was an underdog and the sharp price moved 10+ points shorter (e.g. +140 → +128). Big money is hitting the dog.
FIRST 5
First-5-innings moneyline. Settles on runs scored through the end of the 5th — eliminates bullpen blowups and isolates the starting-pitcher matchup.
TOTALS
Over/Under picks gated by Pinnacle no-vig EV ≥ +1.5%. Available for full game and First-5. We only post a totals pick when Pinnacle's fair line says the price is clearly +EV.
⚠ CONFLICTS
Two LineDrive signals fired on opposite sides of the same game (e.g. Nationals underdog ML + Braves Pitcher Edge). This is NOT a 'bet both sides' play — betting both sides of one game loses to the vig. The record here is the Kelly P/L of each fired leg, tracked so the Brain can learn whether conflict games are noise or genuine edge. Compare vs clean picks on the Track Record page.